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Economic Wargames

by Dal Timgar

Continued

If engineers were capable of these feats 60 and 40 years ago, how can yearly variations in machines that roll along the ground at less than 100 mph possibly be exciting. Going into debt to buy useless variations in automobiles is economic insanity. Retooling factories to make parts that are shaped differently but not technologically different increases the cost and therefore the price of consumer products. From 1908 to the early 1920's the Ford Motor Company made the same machine, the Model T. When introduced the Model T sold for $850. By the time it was discontinued in the early '20's the price was less than $300 and 15,000,000 had been manufactured. If the engineering capability that designed the Lightning had been combined with manufacturing philosophy that produced the Model T to manufacture cars in the '50's, how good a car, at how low a price could have been sold by 1960?

In an economic wargame society it is necessary to know how to keep score and the tactics of the enemy. An individual's wealth is indicated by his or her net worth. Net worth is assets minus liabilities. Assets are anything which can be assigned a monetary value that can be realized by selling the item. Liabilities are debts, which have to be paid eventually. So maximizing assets and minimizing liabilities are basic objectives. However, all assets are not created equal. Some assets maintain or even increase their value over time while others leak like a sieve. If an asset is so expensive one has to go into debt to purchase it, then it is important to know how long the asset lasts; how rapidly it depreciates. Financial advisors tell us that a home is the most expensive purchase that most Americans ever make, followed by automobiles. Hopefully the value of ones home will increase but the value of a car can only decrease. By not supplying reliability and durability data on their products automakers are leaving consumers in the dark and engaging in information hiding.

If auto manufacturers produced lower cost, longer lasting cars by eliminating useless design and brand variations (Chevy and Pontiac are both by General Motors), then the savings on cars could be applied to home mortgages. A $100,000 mortgage over 30 years at 8% will ultimately cost $264,153.60, that's $164,153 in interest alone. By paying an additional amount each month a mortgagee can reduce the total interest paid and eliminate years of payments.

Regular Payment: $733.76 Total Interest: $164,153.60

.....Extra Amount.....#....Approx....Total Amount of
....Added Each Pmt...Pmt...Yr..Mo....Interest..Saved
......$.... 0.00.....360...30...0.....$........0.00
...........50.00.....287...23..11.........39,907.13
..........100.00.....242...20...2.........62,458.66
..........150.00.....212...17...8.........77,433.46
..........200.00.....189...15...9.........88,262.94
Paying an extra $200/mo. nearly cuts the time in debt in half while saving $88,000 in interest. But the money for that extra payment has to come from somewhere. Cars and credit cards are two possibilities.

In 1983 I read a letter that a bank sent to its stockholders. The bank informed its owners that it encouraged the customers to take as long as possible to pay back their loans. This will of course maximize the time over which interest is charged, thereby maximizing the dividends to the stockholders. My bank recently sent me a credit card bill of $0.00 even though it should have been over $100. Their explanation was:

"There is no minimum payment due because last month's payment exceeded the minimum payment due. Your normal payment schedule will resume next month. Finance charges will continue to accrue if the new balance is not paid in full by the due date."

They're content to charge me interest while "graciously" allowing me to "save" money by not paying them one month. Apparently I'm paying them faster than they would prefer. Making minimum payments on credit cards means being in debt for years and paying 2 to 3 times the purchase price for everything bought with the cards.

There is no limit to how dumb consumers are expected to be, some company named Providian keeps sending me an application for a Visa "Classic". It has a $500 limit, 23.99% interest, a $49 application fee, a $59 annual fee and they have the NERVE to say it's a limited time offer. It's the third time I've gotten the offer, I don't see how it could get worse in the future. If some fool were to take this offer and make minimum payments of 3% per month with this interest rate of 2% per month that would amount to approximately $180 + $49 + $59 = $288 paid in the first year and still leave a bill of $440. How many dummies do they find every month?
 
Continued




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